Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.209101 0.240246 0.275360 0.318060 0.368819 0.427520 0.500968
2025-10-26 0.162711 0.203853 0.255304 0.325177 0.418839 0.541848 0.718638
2025-11-02 0.134598 0.179139 0.239084 0.327330 0.456819 0.644574 0.946443
2025-11-09 0.115270 0.160723 0.225495 0.327172 0.487788 0.740803 1.189019
2025-11-16 0.100551 0.145618 0.212935 0.324444 0.512045 0.829767 1.443853
2025-11-23 0.088666 0.132574 0.200830 0.319260 0.529820 0.910285 1.706811
2025-11-30 0.081816 0.126130 0.197720 0.327697 0.571819 1.042813 2.114089
2025-12-07 0.073670 0.116431 0.187722 0.322109 0.586430 1.125812 2.444993
2025-12-14 0.068003 0.110082 0.182412 0.323875 0.615165 1.244218 2.902438
2025-12-21 0.062883 0.104023 0.176728 0.323819 0.639893 1.359992 3.400704
2025-12-28 0.059549 0.100691 0.175484 0.332158 0.684110 1.532657 4.133243
2026-01-04 0.056189 0.096918 0.172891 0.337217 0.721951 1.700592 4.936147
2026-01-11 0.053043 0.093288 0.170284 0.342202 0.761793 1.889064 5.922937
2026-01-18 0.050682 0.090911 0.169886 0.352092 0.816461 2.138329 7.292383
2026-01-25 0.047858 0.087331 0.166590 0.354807 0.853392 2.349086 8.664859
2026-02-01 0.045070 0.083538 0.162388 0.354689 0.882776 2.547539 10.141077
2026-02-08 0.042320 0.079559 0.157335 0.351697 0.903522 2.725938 11.676639
2026-02-15 0.039628 0.075452 0.151553 0.345996 0.915206 2.878141 13.220674
2026-02-22 0.038272 0.074023 0.151574 0.355277 0.974977 3.233216 16.274459
2026-03-01 0.035965 0.070356 0.146102 0.349130 0.984591 3.397998 18.351411
2026-03-08 0.034378 0.068117 0.143717 0.351072 1.021604 3.693514 21.692248
2026-03-15 0.032790 0.065743 0.140768 0.351011 1.052072 3.976530 25.352059
2026-03-22 0.031851 0.064738 0.141012 0.360186 1.117997 4.457342 31.441182